Everyone be it a Fan, or people who run such Sites/Companies are free to Praise or Kick a movie if they wish so...
Ultimately a lot does come down to Money and on its own a $97M Budget and $233M Return sounds not bad... thats actually decent...
However.... the Marketing has to be taken into account, and while it will still make a Prophet i would Safely Assume that FOX Expected the movie to at least bring back $300M
We have the Japanese Market.. but i dont see this making a huge difference due to how long they delayed the Release. Especially into todays World where Leaks, Reviews, Screenshots and even Illegal Downloads of Movies can be accessed and spread quite easy.
If we went back to the 90's then it does not have as big a impact but nowadays releasing a movie a lot after other Western Countries especially in a Market like China is pure STUPID
FOX have made a Epic Error here... the Japanese has the potential to be one of the Largest Markets if we went by % of Total Population and FOX should have released the Movie in Japan in June the latest.
I do fear what they have done could effect the potential Box Office numbers compared to if the Movie had been released way prior... so this is a Dumb Mistake by FOX.
Saying that i think the Japanese Market could make back $20M
Hopefully a bit more... Sadly its about the Money and i would not be surprised if FOX are considering what to do next, just as Paramount may be with the Terminator Franchise... the Problem with Alien Covenant is its now set its self up for a Sequel and so it would be a shame if we never got one.
But FOX are the ones who have to consider the $$$$ and i feel they dont take too many risks, and like to conserve $$$ and i think how well the Next Predator Movie does could also have a impact of FOX and their outlook on their Sci-Fi Franchises.